Is an Electric Car Worth It? A Pure Numbers Analysis
No opinion, just math. EV vs gas across purchase price, fuel, insurance, maintenance, and depreciation.
February 22, 2026 · 5 min read
The answer depends entirely on your situation. Here’s how to find out.
There’s no universal right answer on electric vs. gas. The math changes depending on where you live, how much you drive, what electricity costs in your area, and which specific vehicles you’re comparing. Anyone who tells you EVs always win (or always lose) hasn’t looked at the numbers carefully.
Here’s what actually moves the math.
The five cost categories
Total cost of ownership is the only number that matters. Not sticker price. Not MPG. Everything over the years you own the car.
| Category | EV | Gas |
|---|---|---|
| Purchase price | Higher | Lower |
| Fuel / charging | Lower | Higher |
| Insurance | Higher | Lower |
| Maintenance | Lower | Higher |
| Depreciation | Uncertain | Predictable |
Purchase price
EVs cost more upfront. The average new EV runs $10,000–$15,000 more than a comparable gas vehicle before incentives. Some of that gap closes with the federal tax credit. Some doesn’t. If you’re financing, the higher sticker price means higher monthly payments and more interest paid over the loan term.
Fuel
This is where EVs consistently win, if your electricity rates are reasonable. At the national average (~$0.16/kWh) and 12,000 miles per year, a typical EV costs roughly $600–$800/year to charge. A comparable gas car at $3.50/gallon and 30 MPG costs about $1,400/year in fuel. That’s a $600–$800 annual advantage for the EV.
But electricity rates vary enormously by state. Hawaii averages around $0.40/kWh, nearly three times the national average. That advantage shrinks fast. Run your state’s actual numbers, not the national average. And note: public fast charging costs significantly more per mile than home charging. If you’re apartment-bound without a dedicated outlet, the fuel cost advantage narrows further.
Insurance
EVs typically cost more to insure. Higher repair costs, expensive battery components, and higher vehicle values push premiums up. The difference runs $200–$600/year depending on the vehicle and insurer. Not decisive on its own, but real money over a five-year ownership period.
Maintenance
The second consistent win for EVs. No oil changes, no transmission fluid, no timing belt, fewer brake pad replacements (regenerative braking extends their life significantly). Industry data consistently shows EV maintenance costs running 30–40% lower than equivalent gas vehicles. On a vehicle you own for seven years, that gap compounds into thousands of dollars.
Depreciation
This one is genuinely uncertain. EVs depreciated steeply in the early years as the technology improved rapidly and used EV prices fell. The pattern has stabilized, but EV residual values are still harder to predict than gas vehicles. Battery degradation, shifting range expectations, and software obsolescence all create uncertainty that traditional gas cars don’t carry. Depreciation can easily be the largest single cost category over a multi-year ownership period.
The federal tax credit
For new EVs purchased after January 2023, the federal credit is up to $7,500, with conditions.
Income limits: $150,000 adjusted gross income for single filers, $300,000 for married filing jointly. Above those thresholds, no credit.
Vehicle price limits: $55,000 for cars, $80,000 for trucks and SUVs.
The credit now applies at the point of sale: the dealer reduces your purchase price directly, if you meet the requirements. Not all EVs qualify, and the eligible vehicle list changes as manufacturers hit sales volume thresholds. Confirm eligibility before you sign.
State incentives are separate and vary widely. Some states add $1,000–$7,500 on top of the federal credit. Others offer nothing.
Where the math points
EVs have a stronger case when:
- You drive a lot (15,000+ miles/year)
- Electricity is cheap in your state
- You charge mostly at home
- You qualify for the full $7,500 federal credit
- You plan to own the vehicle for 5+ years
Gas vehicles have a stronger case when:
- Electricity is expensive in your state
- You don't have reliable home charging access
- You drive very few miles annually
- The vehicle you want doesn't qualify for the tax credit
- You plan to sell in 2–3 years before operational savings accumulate
The honest answer
On a pure numbers basis, EVs often come out ahead over a five-to-seven year ownership period, but not always, and often not by as much as the marketing suggests. In some states and driving situations, the math clearly favors gas. In others, EVs pay for themselves well ahead of that window.
The one answer that applies to everyone: run your specific numbers. Your state’s electricity rate. Your actual gas prices. Your annual mileage. The specific vehicles you’re actually comparing.
Run Your Numbers
Compare any two vehicles side by side
The ForestMatters True Cost of Car Calculator runs a full TCO analysis with your actual inputs: state-specific electricity and gas prices, depreciation curves, the federal credit, and a break-even chart showing exactly when (and whether) the EV comes out ahead.
Open True Cost of Car CalculatorDisclaimer: The tools, calculators, and content on ForestMatters are for educational and illustrative purposes only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. ForestMatters, LLC is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or licensed financial planner. Results are estimates based on the inputs you provide and on simplified assumptions (constant rates of return, steady contributions, current incentive programs) that may not reflect your actual situation. Actual outcomes will differ based on taxes, fees, market conditions, policy changes, and many other variables these tools do not model.
Always consult a qualified financial, tax, or legal professional before making major financial decisions. State-specific rates, incentives, and policies cited on this site were current as of their stated publication date and may have changed. Read our full disclaimer.